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Roy Janik

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[Oct. 2nd, 2004|01:09 am]
Roy Janik
finally watched the debates just now, online at Cspan. God bless them for doing the dual podium watch thing. I think Kerry did win. But he never did an effective job of answering George Bush's flip-flopper bullshit. Still, overall it's a good thing.

The funny thing is that Europe is obsessed with the presidential election, too. It's on the news, in the paper, and the subject of many discussions. The people I talked to have so far 1) been staunchly anti-bush, and 2) been convinced Bush will win.

Am I kidding myself? I still think it's pretty evenly split.

I'll ask God tomorrow when I hit the Vatican.


[User Picture]From: nekomouser
2004-10-01 08:28 pm (UTC)
Well, it mostly doesn't take into account debate performances which may change things a little but...

Daily Kos is saying:
Based on state-by-state polling, President Bush would win the election today 291 electoral votes to 247 for John Kerry (as of the 30th, on the 24th the count was Bush 302 Kerry 236)

Electoral-Vote.com is at:
Bush 276 -- Kerry 221 as of October 1st (close swing states not calculated, but you only need 270...it was at Bush 311 -- Kerry 217 on the 24th. Of course, 2 weeks before that it was at Bush 254 -- Kerry 252, so the gap has widened regardless.)

Still 4 weeks though. A lot can happen and I still think that the debates as a whole will really help either candidate win or lose the election and we still have two of those to go.

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[User Picture]From: nekomouser
2004-10-02 09:49 pm (UTC)
New polls are about 52%-47%, so popularity-wise it is a fairly even split.
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